A Special Interview with Dr. A Velumani
1. Please tell us about the genesis of Nueclear. What is the idea that led to the creation of Nueclear? For a very long time, I worked at the Radiation Medicine Center of BARC, where I was a Research Scientist. “Radiation Medicine Centre” is a unique facility which focuses on the uses of Radioisotopes in Healthcare. I learnt the science of “Radioimmunoassay” for Thyroid testing; which gave birth to Thyrocare – our Pathology vertical. During my 14 years of work at BARC, I also learnt how isotopes work in body when injected, in the form of Radiopharmaceuticals. Once the work of creating a pan-Indian leader in pathology was completed, I thought why not a Radiology vertical. Thus in 2011, we incorporated Nueclear Healthcare Limited to focus on Cancer Diagnosis. 2. You are looking at a 25% growth this year and have been vocal about the bright future of imaging. What are the reasons that underlie this confidence? India is a nascent and deeply underpenetrated market for PET-CT using FDG. The numbers speak for themselves. India has <200 PET-CT installations, while the US with third of Indian population has more than 1700 installations. Even a country like Japan with a population of only 130 million people (1/10th of India) has 2000 scanners. Now, while one can argue that Oncology is associated with old age, and that both US and Japan have older populations than India, the steady rise of lifestyle diseases, and the especially worrying rise in incidence of cancer creates a position where this industry will keep growing. Over the next five decades I feel this industry would grow at ~15-20% and organized players in the industry should grow at a faster rate of about 20 to 25%. 3. You have stated on public forums that making imaging affordable & reachable is your mission. How is Nueclear going about achieving it? From its very genesis, Nueclear was intended to help treat, and not exploit the sick. While entire country was doing PET-CT at ~INR 25,000 for an FDG scan, we priced these at INR 9999. This non-predatory pricing has helped us reach a 10% market share with a 5% of capacity in the country. There were many naysayers initially who were convinced that this price point is not viable. In Delhi and Mumbai, the rates have consistently trended downwards, as a direct result of our pricing. In the next phase of growth, we will be working at Rs.8000 as rate for next 5 years, which will push the mean rates in the country would come down to 12,000. The reduced rates will result in increased consumption and therefore volumes. Someone had to trigger this wave. I am happy that it has been NHL. 4. You have been a pioneer in driving low cost / high quality services. Most people can do only one or other. How do you make business sense out of it? I strongly believe that it is the strategy and clarity of thought that underpin successful efforts to drive volumes. The Industry average is less than 4 scans per machine per day – NHL consistently exceeds 10 scans per machine per day. In a fixed cost, near commodity business, it is It is the strategy to pick up volumes that makes all the difference. Already the industry average is only 5 scans per machine per day while NHL has already reached 10 scans per machine per day. The good news is that much like wind power the costs of running the PET-CT centers are fixed. The key to success lies in rapid scale up that increases the number of scans at a faster velocity. It makes more sense to do 10,000 scans per annum using a machine than just doing 1,000 scans per annum. Quality of Imaging depends upon the brand that is used since imaging is done by a machine that costs more than 7 crores. Be it GE or Siemens or Philips – all brands have global quality that is not changing from machine to machine. What differentiates a high-quality scan from a low-quality scan is the reporting and insight offered by the nuclear medicine doctors (NMPs) – experience and expertise can mean the difference between life and death. Fortunately, Nueclear’s NMPs have a cumulative experience of reporting more than 100,000 scans – there are few institutions globally who can rely on such leaders with this kind of a track record. At the overall level – our game-plan relies on scale – and I am comfortable with the Nueclear business making a loss till we reach a turnover of 100 crores per annum but when it touches 400 crores per annum turnover there would be a 60% EBIDTA. Over the last 2 quarters – as we hit a critical number of centers – we have reported positive EBITDAs in Nueclear – but I am is pushing my team to eschew profitability for growth and presence. This is long term investment that will deliver long term prosperity at the cost of short term discomfort. 5. Your aim is to have a fully functional, pan Indian network of 4 medical cyclotrons and 80 PET-CT centers by 2020. What groundwork is being done for meeting this target? The aggressive target is Dec 2020 for our 4/80 dream in this space. But the conservative target can go as late as Dec 2023. Thankfully, we are not constrained by financial resources, HR challenges or Logistical difficulties. We want to be the right size for the market as it exists today, and how it shapes up in terms of its growth over the next 10 years. Today – this is a supply driven market. By 2030 it would be a demand-driven market. As I earlier alluded, the demographic push for cancer is some time away, and will also eliminate the affordability limitations, even at our pricing given the low per-capita income in India. In developed markets, the cost of a PET-CT exceeds INR 80,000. In India, the average is ~INR